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Nicolas Argy, MD, JD

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Thin Ice: Is Personalized Medicine Savior or False Prophet

December 10, 2018 Nicolas Argy
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Recent National Academy of Medicine report suggests Expanding the Role of N-of-1 Trials in the Precision Medicine Era: Action Priorities and Practical Considerations




While their is some intuitive appeal to the most highly tailored personalized care being best... the notion that this constitutes research or can be extrapolated to others is highly suspect.  This is more akin to trial and error with no means to establish a causal link between treatment and outcome 

below are the conditions thought to be requisite to engage in N of 1 research

Conditions necessary for N of 1 trials

DISEASE:

Chronic stable slowly progressive condition frequently relapsing and not emergent or imminently life threatening

TREATMENT:

No established standard effective treatment, rapid therapeutic effect, ability to try multiple different interventions safely and sequentially

OUTCOME MEASURE:

Objective established measure of effectiveness

PATIENT SUBJECT:

Willingness to participate after obtaining full informed consent



Warning bells should be sounding!!

The above criteria are so restrictive in nature that virtually no condition or patient would qualify. The suggestion that N of 1, is research, creates the illusion of science while in essence we are creating individual guinea pigs exposed to significant risk with virtually no benefit to be realized other than by pure luck.


Personalized medicine has been dramatically oversold as a solution to “your” health needs and while very useful to establish effectiveness of certain tumors to individualized chemotherapeutic agents, is still in its infancy.

Cost has also never been factored into the impact of personalized medicine which could be prodigious

We need to proceed cautiously with deliberate, informed, slow and prudent course of action or risk breaking through the ice and being much worse off.

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